SirFrancisGalton
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SirFrancisGalton is a Polymarket wallet profile with $14.9K PnL, $906.6K total volume, a 83.0% win rate, and activity across 1577 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that turned $1,485 into a $14,886 Polymarket PnL while taking almost zero volatility risk — meet SirFrancisGalton.
SirFrancisGalton Polymarket trader sits at rank #8,739 with a deceptively boring profile: 83% win rate, $906.6K total volume, 1.1 trades per day. Conservative type. Low risk. The numbers scream "nothing to see here" — until you open the wallet.
Strategy: He buys heavy favorites near expiry, collects pennies, and compounds like a savings account on steroids. Average entry price is $0.84 — meaning he almost never bets on odds below 84 cents. He's not predicting outcomes. He's capturing the final 1-2% slippage on near-certain events. 211 total trades, 50 closed positions, and the buy-to-sell ratio sits at 28.4 — this man buys 28 times for every 1 sell. Script behavior.
Proof: Best trade was Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Manchester City FC? for +$540. Worst was a -$2,436 hit on Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 3 - 3 Atalanta BC? — the one time he got greedy on long-tail exact scores. That single loss is 163% of his best win. Classic puke trade.
Edge: He doesn't predict. He exploits stale liquidity. Most degans chase 10x moons. SirFrancisGalton farms the last 2 cents of edge on 84+ cent lines. It's math over gut, executed by a script that probably sleeps better than you. 1.64% ROI sounds pathetic until you realize it compounds daily with near-zero variance. The 83% win rate isn't luck — it's design.
Current: 161 open positions, $29,539 portfolio, $14,886 closed PnL. He's sitting on mostly live markets with high confidence entries. Risk caveat: that $14.9K profit proves one bad fill on a 50-cent line wipes months of edge. Looks like free money until you try to exit a $0.99 line with $906.6K volume.
Track the SirFrancisGalton Polymarket trader wallet and 8,000+ other degens on Predicts.guru — or just keep refreshing Twitter for pamp.
conservativeRisk: low