pilimili
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pilimili is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$64.2K PnL, $13.2M total volume, a 50.0% win rate, and activity across 29 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that turned $87k into nearly $900k in geo-political futures — pilimili sits at a deceptively low rank #2,821,081 but with a 828% ROI that dwarfs most top 10K Polymarket whales.
pilimili Polymarket trader is a whale with a low-risk label who’s made 25 trades across 29 markets in airspace closure events. The core edge? Buy both sides asymmetrically — they bought “Yes” on Iran closes airspace and “Yes” on Israel closes airspace, then let reality decide. The buy/sell ratio is a staggering 5.43, meaning they tilt heavily toward buying panic when others sell.
Best trade was Iran closes airspace by May 31, 2026 — a +$29,420 win. The worst: the mirror bet on Israel closes airspace by the same date — a -$34,555 hit. That’s not a mistake. That’s a deliberate macro spread — they absorbed a small loss on one leg as insurance for a massive win on the other. Most degens would have panic-hedged; pilimili just sized up and held.
The real edge: niche mastery. They don’t trade elections, crypto regulation, or celebrity death pools. They farm one ultra-specific category — airspace closure — where timing asymmetry offers fat margins. A 50% win rate at low risk with an average trade size of $10,276 means they don’t chase pennies; they wait for fat tails. Retail chases headlines — pilimili farms noise.
Right now, 24 positions open out of 25 total trades. $806k portfolio still live. That’s aggressive for a “low risk” label — but the PnL says discipline, not gambling. Caveat: the one massive loss (-$34k) shows these spreads can blow up if both sides lose. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
Want to track this wallet live and see if the spread still holds? Use Predicts.guru as your Polymarket wallet checker — or just check Polymarket wallet analytics on any prediction market analytics dashboard to see if pilimili is still farming airspace.
whaleRisk: low