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Maiwenn is a Polymarket wallet profile with $109 PnL, $18.6K total volume, a 23.7% win rate, and activity across 47 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Maiwenn (0xcf37282f06b072a4c6d14b627ed0e58fba3ed890) Polymarket trader turned $18.6K volume into a $109 profit on a 0.59% ROI — but here's the brutal math: 23.68% win rate and a portfolio value sitting at $659.67 tells you this isn't a story about edge, it's a cautionary tale about chasing noise across 47 markets with zero conviction.
Maiwenn is a diversified trader with a medium risk profile spread across nearly 50 different markets. Rank 201,098 on the Polymarket leaderboard. The stat that screams loudest: 46 total trades, 38 closed, win rate under 24%. That's not diversification — that's spray and pray. Average trade size $145.58, buy-sell ratio 1.65, which means they're entering positions more than they're exiting them. The type of behavior Polymarket whale watchers see right before another underwater position locks in losses.
The edge hack here is nonexistent. Maiwenn spreads capital across prediction market categories with zero focus. The one bright spot: Chargers vs. Texans netted $143.90 in PnL — 56% of total profits from a single trade. But pull that win out, and the account is basically flat. The worst trade hit -$140 on Vikings vs. Rams (2025-01-14), a near-identical loss that proves this wallet has zero position sizing discipline.
What separates Maiwenn from actually dangerous Polymarket traders? Absolutely nothing positive. They're trading 0.2 times per day, which means they're not accumulating edge through volume or pattern recognition. They're not specializing in any single category where they could build informational advantage. Eight open positions currently bleeding portfolio value. This is what happens when someone treats prediction markets like a sports betting app instead of a data arbitrage machine.
Currently holding $659.67 in portfolio value across 47 markets with 8 active bets. The risk here is real — a 23% win rate means you're losing 3 out of every 4 bets on average. At this trajectory, the account could easily drop 40% before finding any edge. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or check other Polymarket traders with better Polymarket wallet analytics to see what actual prediction market edge looks like.
diversifiedRisk: medium