0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec
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0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec is a Polymarket wallet profile with $1.2K PnL, $174.3K total volume, a 14.3% win rate, and activity across 316 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xcded23a5ed6ef4d045ca2fd3dd7a02b9f7b3b1ec Polymarket trader turned $1.2K PnL on 297 trades across 316 markets in under a month — but a 14.3% win rate and 0.85% ROI reveal the brutal math behind the volume grind.
This is a diversified noise collector running pure scatter-shot strategy. Rank 56,221. Medium risk. Fires 13.4 trades per day across anything with liquidity, averaging $1.33 per entry at 0.47 odds — the classic "play micro-positions everywhere and pray one breaks" blueprint that looks free money until the drawdown math catches up.
The edge (if you can call it that) is pure execution discipline and maybe luck. One trade, Elon Musk # tweets March 3 - March 10, 2026?, hit for $1,030 — and that single win accounts for 84% of total PnL. The worst trade lost $18.87. This wallet operates at near-breakeven on volume alone; one outlier trade is carrying the whole operation.
The real tells: 0.24 buy-sell ratio means this trader holds almost nothing (selling far more than buying), probably panic-dumping losers before they crater. 116 open positions out of 189 closed — the portfolio is bloated with underwater bets waiting for miracles. Total volume sits at $143K on $1.2K profit. That's a 0.85% return grinding 297 times. The daily trade rate of 13.4 suggests bot-assisted or compulsive scalping, not edge-based conviction.
This is not a Polymarket whale or a top Polymarket trader by any serious metric. Win rate at 14% means 6 out of every 7 bets lose. The portfolio value sits at $553, still holding 116 open positions — one bad day wipes months of hustle. The wallet looks like retail chasing action, not a prediction market analytics pro farming information edge.
Current state is wild: all winners stacked into one market trade, all volume generated by playing noise across 316 markets, and nearly 2:1 closed-to-open ratio suggests the grind is unsustainable. High turnover, low conviction, survival-mode trading.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to track how long the diversified spray-and-pray strategy survives the Polymarket leaderboard — it's a case study in why 99% of retail traders end at zero despite "staying active."
diversifiedRisk: medium