X011111234
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X011111234 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$8.4K PnL, $2.4M total volume, a 50.0% win rate, and activity across 7 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
21DM Polymarket trader turned $17.5K into $59K in pure geopolitical chaos — one contrarian Iran bet that paid $79K while the noise crowd argued about headlines.
21DM sits outside the noise. Rank 2892, but 239% ROI on just $17.5K in deposits tells you everything about conviction over volume. Six trades total. Fifty percent win rate. But that single best trade? US x Iran ceasefire by...? netted $79,758.99 against a worst loss of only $3,752.60 — a 21-to-1 payoff ratio that screams selective entry, not spray-and-pray.
The edge is ruthless position sizing married to geopolitical timing. Average entry price of 0.0178 means 21DM is buying when the crowd panics, when sentiment bottoms, when Twitter doom scrollers are liquidating. The buy-to-sell ratio of 22-to-1 isn't lazy hodling — it's conviction that the market misprices black swan tail events. This Polymarket whale doesn't chase; he waits for dislocations that scream mispriced.
Four open positions currently. $59.6K portfolio value. Zero withdrawals yet — all gains still locked in the wallet. High risk classification makes sense: concentration in geopolitical prediction markets is not for flinching. But the math works because 21DM isn't gambling on outcome probability; he's trading volatility collapse and narrative shifts that institutions can't touch on Polymarket due to regulatory friction.
What separates 21DM from 99% of degens hitting the leaderboard? Discipline. Only 0.6 trades per day average. Markets traded: six. He's not a volume farmer or noise collector farming every 2% flip. He's a sniper waiting for fat mispricing in exactly the categories where most retail runs scared. The best Polymarket traders understand that prediction markets reward patience more than frequency — and 21DM's wallet proves it.
The risk: concentration and liquidity. Not everyone survives the drawdown when a single thesis unwinds. But for anyone tracking prediction market analytics and whale behavior, this wallet is a masterclass in how tight conviction beats diversified chaos.
Track 21DM and other top Polymarket traders on Predicts.guru to see if the Iran playbook repeats or if the next contrarian thesis lands as clean.
whaleRisk: medium