ACEE123
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ACEE123 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$28.0K PnL, $10.6M total volume, a 78.8% win rate, and activity across 533 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
ACEE123 on Polymarket took a 71k one-trade monster win and somehow still sits down 28k lifetime — the poster child for why high win rate doesn't mean high win account.
ACEE123 (0xcc8f0e3bd33b98eb19a0c122397b6ce69cffa7bb) is a mid-tier Polymarket whale who's run 593 trades across 533 different markets, posting a 78.8% win rate that looks pristine until you see the balance sheet. Rank 2.2M. Trader type flagged as whale. Risk level low.
The edge hack is obvious on paper: hit 79% of trades, volume $10.6M, 2.9 trades per day. ACEE123 moves like a noise collector — spreads bets across 533 markets, catches small edges constantly, compounds winners. The math works until one position blows you up. Best trade scored 71k on Cubs vs. Brewers (2025-10-07). Worst trade nuked 77.8k on Pelicans vs. Spurs. That's the trap: single-loss magnitude eclipsed single-win size by 6.8k, and no win rate survives a 78k drawdown unscathed.
The data is brutal. Started with $402k in deposits, burned through to $144.5k net transfers, sitting at 66.8k portfolio value today. ROI negative 19.32%. That's $257k in withdrawals — money leaving the wallet faster than wins arrive. Average trade size 4.3k, entry price 0.90 (buying deep in the order book, fighting slippage). Buy-sell ratio 6.3 means ACEE123 holds way more longs than shorts — directional drift in a sideways market kills the thesis.
What separates this from pure degen is discipline: low risk rating, only 8 open positions (almost all closed out), consistent daily volume. The problem isn't execution — it's position sizing against tail risk. Win 79% of small bets, lose 1 big bet, and arithmetic just breaks. ACEE123 survived 585 closed positions, which is respect-worthy. Most retail never see 600 trades alive. But the Polymarket leaderboard doesn't reward survived — it rewards PnL, and negative 19k on $402k deposits is a 5-figure tax on conviction.
Current move: eight open positions, slow burn mode. Not blowing up, not winning. The evolution ACEE123 needed was position sizing discipline before month five — now it's damage control, trying to arbitrage back to flat.
whaleRisk: low