afraz
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afraz is a Polymarket wallet profile with $1.7K PnL, $277.3K total volume, a 73.3% win rate, and activity across 82 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that turned $86,640 into a $1.7K PNL with a face-melting -71.9% ROI... and still somehow sits with a 73.3% win rate. That's the afraz (0xca6465345246f543b7cb3152d5f5f54096f84f43) Polymarket trader paradox.
Identity: Rank #87,529. Conservative label, zero open positions right now. 50 closed trades. Tennis, tennis, and more tennis — his entire personality is the ATP tour.
Strategy: He buys favorites. Simple. Average entry price of $0.68 means he's paying up for "safe" picks. 13.7 trades per day — this isn't a hobbyist; this is a guy running a grind on the National Bank Open.
But here's the kicker: he hacked the timing, not the tennis. His best trade: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton — a single +$5,297.85 rip. His worst: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur — a -$11,044.21 nightmare that nuked his entire month. The gap between those two numbers is the whole story.
The real edge? Discipline on the wrong side. He's a low-risk trader who somehow lost $62k net on deposits while maintaining a buy/sell ratio of 1.85. He buys early, sells into spikes, and gets caught holding bags when the favorite chokes. The math says he's a churn machine — $277.3K volume, $1,534 average size — but the ROI says he's donating to market makers.
Current state: Busted. Net transfers -$62,295. All positions closed. The account looks like a ghost town after a tennis hangover.
And that's the honest truth: 73.3% win rate means nothing when your max loss is double your max win. Look at this wallet on Predicts.guru to verify the carnage — this is what "conservative" looks like when the variance hits. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
conservativeRisk: low