keribit
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keribit is a Polymarket wallet profile with $95.6K PnL, $8.1M total volume, a 77.4% win rate, and activity across 445 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
keribit Polymarket trader turned $823k in deposits into $95.5k pure profit on 466 trades, running a 77.4% win rate across 445 different markets while somehow staying disciplined enough to rack up only 4.4 trades per day.
This is what a low-risk whale actually looks like. keribit sits at rank 1453 with an 11.44% ROI on deposits—not sexy numbers until you do the math: $95.6K profit, $8.1M total volume traded, and a portfolio sitting at $274k. The edge here isn't flash. It's consistency. 77% accuracy on prediction markets is the kind of stat that breaks most retail traders psychologically. Most degens chase vol and blow up. keribit diversifies ruthlessly across 445 markets, keeps average trade size tight at $1,119, and disciplines entries hard—0.91 average entry price signals he's waiting for real mispricing, not panic-buying dip noise.
The real proof: his best trade pulled $27.4k from Germany Parliamentary Election Winner, but his worst trade hit -$27.6k on a Bitcoin 2025 price call. That symmetry matters. He's not hedging with tiny losers and one-shotting. He's taking sized positions both ways and letting them work. Buy-sell ratio of 1.74 suggests he leans long on conviction, but those 18 open positions tell you he's not over-concentrated—he's scaling in, not all-in. Running 4.4 trades daily across 445 markets means he's farming prediction market inefficiency, not timing hourly vol spikes like a degen.
The dangerous part: low-risk Polymarket traders often look boring until a black swan liquidity event happens. His max loss matches his max win almost exactly—that's discipline, but it also means one market that gaps against him on chainlink outage or exchange lag could cascade. Not everyone survives the drawdown when you're playing prediction markets at scale.
Right now, 18 open positions with $274k portfolio value means he's running lean, probably hunting fresh mispricings as the election cycle heats up. His net deposits show he's pulled out $643k while keeping $179k in—classic whale move: let the house money run, extract gains when it gets spicy.
Track keribit's next moves on Predicts.guru or use a Polymarket wallet checker to see if this low-risk, high-volume Polymarket strategy actually scales when volatility rips.
whaleRisk: low