betwick
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betwick is a Polymarket wallet profile with $610.7K PnL, $31.8M total volume, a 54.0% win rate, and activity across 626 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
betwick (0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a) Polymarket trader turned $274K into $796K by treating geopolitical chaos like a casino floor—explosive edge in noise markets nobody else can read.
Rank 143. Whale status. 780 total trades across 626 markets. Win rate sits at 54.3%, which shouldn't print $610.7K PnL at 129.7% ROI, yet here we are. The math works because betwick doesn't chase volume—he hunts volatility spikes in low-liquidity events where retail panics and smart money hasn't arrived yet. His edge: bet geopolitical tail events when Twitter breaks news but Polymarket hasn't caught up. Average trade size $4.2K. Trades 4.8 times per day. This is not random clicking.
The killer stat: best single trade pulled $139K on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?. Worst trade lost $100K on Romania Presidential Election Winner. The spread tells you everything: betwick takes massive swings, loses disciplined, but wins bigger. Buy-to-sell ratio of 3.0 means he's directional—conviction trader, not scalper. Open 703 positions right now. Closed 688. Portfolio value $527K against $172K net transfers in. He's compounded hard.
What actually separates this Polymarket whale from the noise is position sizing against chaos. He enters geopolitical markets at 0.73 average entry price—betwick waits for overcorrections, then stacks. When retail screams "Khamenei regime collapse" on headline alone, the market spikes 0.85+. He's already in at 0.70 from the night before. Win rate under 55% usually kills accounts. Betwick survives because his winners ($139K) dwarf his losers ($100K). That's risk management theater—most degens lose five small to make one big, then blow up. He flips the script.
Currently sitting on 92 open bets. Risk level flagged as low, which reads generous given the concentration in geopolitical and election markets—basically defined as "low-frequency, high-impact." Not everyone survives a black swan that moves against the portfolio thesis. The drawdown would be violent.
Track this Polymarket trader's next moves on Predicts.guru or check other top Polymarket wallet analytics to see if the geopolitical edge holds into 2025.
whaleRisk: low