0xc82c24e4866334464df777dd211c01c59bd8c866
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0xc82c24e4866334464df777dd211c01c59bd8c866 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $141 PnL, $19.8K total volume, a 80.9% win rate, and activity across 371 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xc82c24e4866334464df777dd211c01c59bd8c866 Polymarket trader — 80.9% win rate, 261 trades, still down $114 in two weeks. The walking case study in how even perfect execution dies to bad market timing and position sizing.
Meet the prediction market analytics case file nobody wants: a conservative Polymarket trader with a near-legendary 80.9% win rate across 371 markets, stacked 261 total trades in roughly ten days at 25.2 per day, yet sits at minus $114.20 total PnL and a negative 1.19% ROI on $19.8K total volume. This is what discipline without conviction looks like. This is also what happens when you're right most of the time but sizing wrong some of the time.
The edge looks clean on paper. Buy/sell ratio of 2.24 means this trader aggressively accumulates small positions early, averaging entry at 0.66 cents per share — classic noise collection on low-conviction micro-markets. Temperature markets like Highest temperature in Miami on March 29? became the proving ground: best single win of $22.95 feels reasonable until you check the worst trade at minus $29.91 on a similar San Francisco temp call. That's the trap. Win 71 out of 100 but lose bigger on the 29 you get wrong, and suddenly you're bleeding despite the Polymarket win rate that would make retail weep.
Current portfolio value: $3.49 on deck. Sixty-five open positions burning daily theta. Average trade size of $3.35 per bet shows retail-scale conviction but wholesale discipline — this isn't a whale, this is a grinder who learned how to be right and forgot to learn how to win. The Polymarket leaderboard never ranked this wallet because steady wins at micro-scale don't compound; they evaporate. Check this Polymarket wallet on Predicts.guru or pull the analytics yourself — it's a masterclass in how prediction market strategy evolves from "I'm accurate" to "I need to survive my accuracy."
Risk caveat: temperature futures reward patience and patience kills accounts. Watch what happens when position size scales.
diversifiedRisk: medium