redabox
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redabox is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$191 PnL, $5.8K total volume, a 73.0% win rate, and activity across 48 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet. $258 in. Down to basically zero. That's a -99.61% ROI for redabox (0xc76312d1fa76c72bb88bf1757779ad5334aa0534) Polymarket trader — one of the most brutal "slow bleed" demos of prediction market analytics on the leaderboard.
redabox sits at rank #2,708,245. Trader type: conservative. But don't let the label fool you. This isn't a whale. This is a micro-account running 38 closed trades across 48 markets, averaging just $37 per position. Top categories? Bitcoin and geopolitics — the two loudest noise machines on Polymarket.
The strategy looks simple: buy the favorite. Average entry price of $0.616, meaning redabox was buying things that were already likely to happen. That's not an edge — that's a tax. Win rate is 72.97%, but the PnL is -$191. The math is ugly: wins are small, losses are catastrophic. The best trade? Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET for +$120. The worst? Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? for -$140. One geopolitical headline wiped out a week of Bitcoin scalping.
The real edge here is... there is none. This is the anti-alpha. redabox buys favorites, holds too long, and gets smoked on tail risk. Total volume is only $5,755 — tiny. Trades per day: 3.5. The buy/sell ratio is 1.7, meaning it's mostly one-directional buying. No arb, no panic fills, no script. Just a conservative gambler who discovered that 73% win rate means nothing when your losses are 3x your wins.
Right now? Zero open positions. The wallet is drained. $258 deposited, $1 withdrawn. Portfolio value: null. This is what "medium risk" looks like when the volatility gods laugh at your risk management.
If you want to see how NOT to trade prediction markets — or if you want to track the next redabox before they blow up — check the wallet on Predicts.guru. Polymarket wallet analytics don't lie. This one screams "stop while you're ahead."
conservativeRisk: medium