Ahou
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Ahou is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1.1K PnL, $14.1K total volume, a 38.7% win rate, and activity across 59 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that started with $667 in deposits, now holds less than $93 — but somehow still shows a 45% ROI, because this trader mastered the art of pulling profits out before gravity struck.
Ahou is ranked #2,616,546 on Polymarket — basically anonymous, bio empty, wallet full of contradictions. 59 markets traded, 32 total bets, 31 closed positions. Win rate: 38.7%. Most retail would delete the app. Ahou? Net transfers out: $877 withdrawn vs $667 deposited. That’s how a negative balance wallet prints a $210 net profit in real terms.
Strategy? Low-stakes noise trading. Average trade size: $68. Buy-to-sell ratio of 3.4 means they lean heavily on "yes" positions — buying into bullish narratives cheap and cashing out before expiry. 0.2 trades per day. This isn't a degen. It's a sniper playing micro edges on When will the Government shutdown end? and crypto minute-level binaries like Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET.
Proof? Best single trade: +$96 on the government shutdown event. Worst single trade: -$197 on a 5-minute Bitcoin directional bet. That's a 1:$1.1K loss on the worst trade — controlled. Max single win covers half of max single loss. This trader doesn't chase home runs; they cut losses fast, let small winners compound, and keep the wallet liquid enough to withdraw.
Edge: Discipline disguised as mediocrity. 45% ROI on deposits with a 38.7% win rate is an anomaly. Most degens losing 61% of bets are wiped. Ahou survives because position sizing (<$70 avg) and selective exit timing create a positive expectancy grind. It’s not sexy. It works.
Current position: one open bet left, portfolio value $92.76. Risk level: medium. Realism check — this isn't scalable. 32 trades in months means it's a side hustle, not a whale strategy. But for anyone asking "how do I check Polymarket wallet sustainability without getting rekt", Ahou is your textbook.
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diversifiedRisk: medium