0xBf2e2D67a0C7813aB803f582264aC8FcDd4a5CB9-1769018051079
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0xBf2e2D67a0C7813aB803f582264aC8FcDd4a5CB9-1769018051079 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $101 PnL, $7.7K total volume, a 70.2% win rate, and activity across 331 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Wallet 0xBf2e2D67a0C7813aB803f582264aC8FcDd4a5CB9 deposited $66 and now sits at -73% ROI across 333 trades — the textbook case of a Polymarket trader who found the hard way that high win rate doesn't mean edge.
This is a diversified Polymarket trader ranked outside the top 188K wallets, grinding 7.8 trades per day across 331 different markets. 70.2% win rate sounds elite until you check the math: $101 total PnL on $7.7K volume means each winner barely covers transaction friction. The portfolio now holds $17.75 with 162 open positions — a red flag for someone chasing every noise signal that crosses the feed.
The edge hack here doesn't exist. That's the point. This wallet spreads capital so thin across so many markets that they're essentially playing prediction market roulette. Buy-to-sell ratio of 3.8x shows heavy overconfidence in directional bets. Best trade pulled $36.84 on a NYC temperature market Highest temperature in NYC on February 28?. Worst trade bled $15 on a geopolitical event (Iran strike timing). One lucky temp call and one bad geopolitics guess summarize the entire operation.
What separates this Polymarket wallet from winners isn't discipline or niche mastery — it's the opposite. Zero withdrawals despite being underwater means they're either hope-stacking or haven't yet felt the pain. Medium risk setting with 162 open positions is also a tell: they believe quantity compounds edge when actually it compounds losses. Check the avg entry price at 0.449 and you're watching someone chase mid-range probabilities with no real model, just pattern-matching other degens' positions.
Currently holding 162 open bets on everything from weather to elections. That's not diversification, that's fragmentation. The Polymarket win rate calculator shows 70.2% win rate with -73% ROI in real money — a grim reminder that prediction market analytics favor discipline over frequency. Not every wallet that trades 333 times across multiple Polymarket categories survives the math.
Track this wallet and others on Predicts.guru to see how Polymarket PnL actually breaks down when you stress-test the spreadsheet instead of just watching the green box notifications roll past.
diversifiedRisk: medium