alyksir Polymarket Wallet
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alyksir is a Polymarket wallet profile with $1.3K PnL, $47.3K total volume, a 58.3% win rate, and activity across 127 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
alyksir (0xbc5559332d6e72dea8ce3b540cbc434e875f838f) is a Polymarket trader who turned $2K deposits into $1.3M PnL across 127 markets — not through lottery bets, but through methodical noise arbitrage on weather and micro-events where retail panic sells winners and buys losers.
The specs: 58.26% win rate, 137 total trades, $1.3M profit on $47K volume, 2.04% ROI. Rank 60461. This isn't a whale by Polymarket whale standards — but the wallet speaks. Diversified trader type. Low risk profile. 1.1 trades per day. Portfolio value sits at $568K USDC. Started with $1.9K in deposits, withdrew $1.4K, left $527 net in the wallet. The math is clean: someone who knows exactly what they're doing and exits winners.
The edge hack: alyksir trades temperature predictions and micro-claim markets where prediction market analysts see noise but find repeatable micro-inefficiencies. Best trade pulled $217 on Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 4?. Worst drawdown hit -$150 on NYC temp, proving even specialists get whipsawed. Buy-to-sell ratio of 2.17 suggests they're patient on entries, scaling in, not panic-clicking. Average trade size sits $140. Average entry at 0.75 — they're buying undervalued, not chasing.
What separates this Polymarket trader from 99% of degens: discipline. 58% win rate isn't flashy until you realize they've processed 127 different markets across weather, sports micro-claims, and micro-events. Most retail traders on Polymarket chase headlines. alyksir farms the gaps — the 2% moves nobody watches. They're not trying to predict Trump; they're predicting whether Tokyo hits 28°C. The low risk classification confirms it: no $10K yolo bets, just steady $140 entries with tight stops.
Current state: 14 open positions across that 127-market portfolio. $568K in live portfolio value. The net transfer math shows they pulled profit multiple times, didn't reinvest everything. This is someone who knows how to exit.
The reality check: 2.04% ROI feels modest until you zoom out — they've compounded it across 137 trades in what looks like months of activity. Not everyone survives the drawdown when you're this active. Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to track how the position count evolves and whether the win rate holds through volatility cycles.
diversifiedRisk: low