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Trader Overview
Iook-at-me (0xbb8969f3c245ef81c6e8b106be5bd85d2f349fdf) is a Polymarket trader who turned $1,759 into $1,016 while maintaining a 92.7% win rate — the kind of stat contradiction that makes you lean back and think, "how the fuck is this real?"
The identity: rank 54,668, conservative trader, 1,447 total trades across 1,430 different markets. This is noise farming at scale. Ten trades per day, average size $227, mostly micro positions. The Polymarket strategy is brutally simple — scatter tiny bets everywhere, hit the majority, let compounding math do the work. Except the math broke. ROI sits at negative 99.62%. Nearly flat to ruins.
The edge hack: volume masking via diversification. Most prediction markets traders concentrate fire on 3-5 high-conviction calls. Iook-at-me does the opposite — spray 1,430 markets, rely on win-rate gravity to carry the portfolio. Best single trade pulled $184.52 (Toronto temperature prediction on Highest temperature in Toronto on February 19?). Worst lost $146.80 (Kabuto card price on Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?). In 1,447 trades, the range stayed tight. Win rate of 92.77% should print money. Instead: $743 burned.
Here's where this Polymarket trader's edge reveals the trap. High win rate on micro stakes means nothing when average trade size is $227 and you're buying at entry price 0.98 (dead center, no edge pricing). You're not ahead of odds — you're catching momentum scraps. The 1.31 buy-sell ratio suggests panic buying into noise, chasing green candles on prediction markets. Thirteen open positions worth $6.72 total. This wallet is functionally closed.
Current status: essentially liquidated. Total deposits hit $1,759.89, zero withdrawals, portfolio down to pocket change. Iook-at-me burned the house trying to scalp Polymarket leaderboard noise instead of building thesis depth. The lesson cuts deep: 92% win rate on bad position sizing and no edge pricing is just slow-motion bleed. Not everyone survives the drawdown. This one didn't.
whaleRisk: low