0xb8a9F7f1Cd73d1D6Fe7663B500b8D0041298643c-1772348920031
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0xb8a9F7f1Cd73d1D6Fe7663B500b8D0041298643c-1772348920031 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$6 PnL, $96 total volume, a 75.9% win rate, and activity across 29 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xb8a9f7f1cd73d1d6fe7663b500b8d0041298643c Polymarket trader burned 93.56% on $41 in deposits across 30 trades with a 75.9% win rate — the most brutal case of "high accuracy, zero edge" in prediction markets right now.
This is 0xb8a9F7f1Cd73d1D6Fe7663B500b8D0041298643c-1772348920031, rank 1,337,195 on the Polymarket leaderboard. Conservative risk profile. Mostly Bitcoin flash trading, micro-timeframe noise. Total PnL: negative $6.22. Total volume: $96.24. The math doesn't add up because the math was never there.
Here's what kills this: 75.9% win rate on the Polymarket trader profile should print money. Instead, he's down $6.22 on a $41 deposit. The best trade? $2.97 win on Bitcoin Up or Down — March 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET. The worst? A $6.2 loss on the exact same market five minutes earlier. He's chasing five-minute Bitcoin swings like they're tradeable. They aren't. Not at this size, not with these odds.
The Polymarket arbitrage math is simple: you either have timing edge, liquidity edge, or information edge. This account has none. He trades 30 times across 29 different markets, averaging $2.57 per position. Average entry price sits at 0.78 — buying heavily discounted outcomes and hoping for mean reversion that never comes fast enough to matter. One open position remains. Twenty-nine closed. The pattern screams: scalp bids, get stopped, repeat. Win rate climbs because most bets are small and wide, but the one position that hits hard enough to matter? That's the one that tanks you.
What separates this from a winning Polymarket trader? Discipline around what to trade. High win rate without profit is the most dangerous thing in prediction markets because it feels like you're doing something right. You're not. You're noise-farming in markets too tight to farm. The $6.2 loss dwarfs the $2.97 win by exactly the amount it takes to erase six profitable trades. That's not variance. That's structure.
He's flat now at $2.64 portfolio value. Zero withdrawals. The account is still breathing, but the pattern is terminal: conservative risk setting + micro-timeframe noise + zero filtering on market selection = slow bleed. Not everyone survives the lesson that high accuracy on the wrong bets is just expensive tuition.
conservativeRisk: low