Tenebris11
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Tenebris11 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$69 PnL, $4.0K total volume, a 78.0% win rate, and activity across 491 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Opened the wallet expecting a whale, saw Tenebris11 (0xb70ae546e2ab0d3909f24ba6feebcc298f904404) Polymarket trader bleeding $69 but rocking a 78% win rate — how the fuck is that real?
Tenebris11 is a diversified micro-grinder, sitting at rank #2,456,953. Not a whale. Not a bot. Just a dude slinging $2 avg trades across 491 markets like confetti.
Strategy is dead simple: he buys dips. Buy/sell ratio of 2.35 means he's accumulating positions when panic hits, then selling into strength. Chasing soccer O/U lines, NBA props, and hype events — all in, all out. High-frequency noise collection with 11.8 trades per day.
Proof? The stats don't lie, but they don't flatter either. $69.5 loss on $4K volume — a 93.73% ROI hole from his $168 deposit base. Best trade: Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5 bagging $13.26. Worst: Timberwolves vs. Spurs losing $7.47. The win rate is 78%%, but the losses are fatter than the wins — classic negative expectancy disguised as skill.
The edge is volume, not vision. Diversification to the extreme — 491 markets — means no single thesis matters. 78% win rate with a losing wallet is the tell: he's cashing small winners early and letting losers run to max pain. That's not strategy; that's a grind that feels productive until you check PnL.
His 50 closed positions and zero open bags mean he's either disciplined or scared — probably both. Averaging $2.20 per trade with a 37-cent entry price screams "I'm just testing the waters everywhere." The deposit-to-withdrawal ratio (168 in, 10 out) shows he hasn't figured out the exit door yet.
Here's the realism check: 78% win rate looks like alpha until you realize bankruptcy is a death by a thousand cuts. The edge isn't market knowledge — it's that he's too small to care. No single loss kills him, but no single win ever will either.
Track this high-frequency grind on Predicts.guru, or check the Polymarket wallet checker to see if his next 491 markets finally move the needle.
diversifiedRisk: medium