DickTurbin
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DickTurbin is a Polymarket wallet profile with $326.5K PnL, $55.3M total volume, a 26.0% win rate, and activity across 4734 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
DickTurbin Polymarket trader turns $52k into $357k in pure chaos — rank 373 whale with 26% win rate, 7,441 trades, and the exact opposite of a clean system.
DickTurbin is a high-volume prediction market whale sitting at rank 373 on Polymarket. The stats read like a warning label: $356,918.90 total PnL, 467% ROI, but also a 26% win rate that's barely above coin flip territory. This is noise farming at scale — 10.5 trades per day across 4,590 different markets, 34 open positions right now, and a portfolio worth $152,408.49 USDC after withdrawing $142,917 out. Low risk designation, but that's relative when you're running 7,441 trades on conviction closer to 50-50.
The edge here isn't precision — it's volume arbitrage on micro-inefficiencies. Buy-sell ratio sits at 1.024, meaning barely more buys than sells, which signals active rebalancing on noise. Average entry price $0.7248 tells you he hunts offers slightly past fair value, then exits on reversions. Single best trade: $90,155 on the Maduro geopolitical play. Single worst: -$51,015 on a Zelenskyy outfit call. That's a $141k swing on single bets — volatility he absorbs because the expected value of 7,441 micro-positions compounds. Low win rate crushes most degens, but large winners dwarf small losers when you sample 10 trades daily.
What separates DickTurbin from random multimarket chasers: discipline on position sizing ($791 average trade) and the stomach to hold 1,798 open orders without panic-selling. Most Polymarket traders fracture emotionally after 3 losing days. He's built infra — either API-driven or brutal habit — to stay in the game when win rate hovers at 49%. The real edge is survival. Not everyone lives through drawdowns this wide.
Current state: deeply exposed across 4,734 markets with nearly 34 open positions. That's not diversification — that's distributed conviction that noise reverts. Net transfers show -$90,860 over life (deposits $52k, withdrew $142k), so he's compounding winners back into the pool. Risk here is tail event: a single geopolitical shock across his correlated positions could erase months. The portfolio looks bulletproof until it doesn't.
Track DickTurbin's wallet (0xb6bed94e75c333dae24eb9c80b3fef47ef3cfcfe) on Predicts.guru to watch how 49% win rates actually generate alpha when scaled across 7,441 trades.
whaleRisk: low