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Trader Overview
xitguke turned $1,947 profit on a 3.57% ROI across 123 trades — not flashy, but the 73% win rate reveals real discipline in a market that punishes overconfidence.
Rank 34,773 | Conservative trader | $99 average bet size | Low risk tolerance
This isn't a volume play. xitguke operates at 0.2 trades per day, treating Polymarket like a precision instrument rather than a slot machine. Across 119 markets touched, they've locked 120 closed positions with a buy-to-sell ratio of 3.86 — meaning they're holding conviction longer on winners and cutting faster on losers. The math: 73.27% win rate on small position sizing compounds differently than chasing home runs.
The edge is boring and it works. When your biggest win hits $1,050 on Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders but your worst loss only bleeds $218.69, you're managing downside better than 99% of retail. That's not luck — that's position sizing discipline. Three open positions right now, meaning they're not chasing every market that moves. Entry price averaging 0.75 suggests patience waiting for mispriced odds rather than fomo'ing at peak conviction.
The skeptical take: 73% win rate on micro-positions in a prediction market can mean they're just picking obvious outcomes and exiting early. Real edge tests itself against real risk. But the ROI math says they're avoiding the trap most conservative traders fall into — being so careful they miss the 3-5% compounders altogether.
Currently sitting with 3 open bets. Profile is silent on specifics but the pattern holds: deliberate, measured, letting winners breathe while capping losses hard.
conservativeRisk: low