bcda
Loading wallet statistics...
bcda is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$628.4K PnL, $136.7M total volume, a 56.0% win rate, and activity across 2058 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Deposited $2.7M. Lost $2.4M. Still trading.
bcda is a whale who swung hard and missed harder. Rank 2,159,959 with -$2.39M total PnL across 841 trades, this account reads like a case study in conviction without edge. The 56% win rate sits below break-even, and the -89.41% ROI on deposits tells you everything: nearly nine dollars lost for every ten put in.
The strategy was volume. 2,058 markets touched, 61 trades per day on average, $59.8M in total volume. Low risk classification masks the real problem — it wasn't risk management, it was risk blindness. Best trade pulled $285K on Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds. Worst trade dumped $237K on Clippers vs. Pistons (2026-01-11). Both swing single trades — not a system, a dice roll.
What separated bcda from successful volume players: buy-sell ratio of 32:1 shows aggressive directional betting instead of balanced market-making. The math doesn't work when you're wrong 55% of the time and betting that hard one way. Deposited $2.7M, withdrew only $66K. Portfolio now sits at $228K with 10 open positions still bleeding.
Currently underwater on conviction. The account stopped being a trading edge somewhere around trade 400 and became a monument to capital. Still holding 51 open bets suggests either stubborn averaging down or positions forgotten entirely. At this pace, the remaining $228K gets interesting only if they can flip the win rate — and nothing in the data says that's happening.
whaleRisk: medium