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Trader Overview
Kramer (0xb3c18d1a6e43c2012a48060b462f74f2aac01ef7) turned $30k into $97k in four trades on Polymarket — then actually cashed it all out, walking away up $67k while most whales get stuck watching paper profits evaporate.
Kramer is a diversified Polymarket trader ranked 1606 with brutal simplicity in his approach: four positions, one absolutely vicious 219% ROI, and zero positions sitting open right now. The wallet screams restraint in a market that rewards addiction. Total volume of $121k across just four markets means every trade mattered. High risk tolerance, but something about the execution looks different from the usual retail degen arc.
The edge here isn't complexity — it's the inverse. Kramer built his $67,014.72 Polymarket PnL by doing what almost nobody does: entering low conviction markets at cheap odds, then getting the fuck out when they print. His best trade on Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? pulled $67,598 on what looks like a noise play that worked. The worst trade (Fed Interest Rates: June 2024) only cost $489. That's not luck — that's position sizing discipline. Average trade size sits at $1,538 on entries averaging 0.31 odds, meaning Kramer hunts deep value and doesn't fight it.
What separates this Polymarket whale from the leaderboard grinders: exit discipline. A 25% win rate is honestly terrible on paper. But when your single winner pays 44x the size of your biggest loser, math handles the narrative. Most traders die chasing higher win rates. Kramer chased asymmetry and left. No open positions. No watching the bleed. No "just one more trade." The buy-sell ratio of 20 shows he builds positions carefully, then liquidates them completely.
Current status: Kramer is gone. $97,785 withdrawn, net account down $67k in transfers out. This is the evolution prediction markets need to see more of — someone who identified an edge, extracted $67k in pure PnL, and had the discipline to not reinvest it all back into the next "can't miss" market. Not everyone survives the greed phase. This one did.
diversifiedRisk: high