0xb38A4DB7A7C94973193eE586865C8C3D05563293-1772574388276
Loading wallet statistics…
0xb38A4DB7A7C94973193eE586865C8C3D05563293-1772574388276 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $10.1K PnL, $402.8K total volume, a 98.0% win rate, and activity across 150 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
0xb38A4DB7A7C94973193eE586865C8C3D05563293 is a Polymarket trader who turned $402.8K volume into $10.1K PnL with a 98% win rate—but trades 91 times per day on 5-minute Bitcoin micro-markets, and that edge is pure noise extraction, not skill.
This is diversified trader territory. Ranked #9894 on Polymarket leaderboard, they've stacked 122 total trades across 150 different markets with a medium risk profile. The wallet speaks: $10,054 gross PnL on a 2.5% ROI. Sounds clean until you zoom into the actual edge.
The strategy is ultra-high-frequency micro-volatility farming. 91 trades daily. Average entry price sits at $0.53. Avg trade size $857. They're not predicting Bitcoin direction over days—they're scalping 5-minute price swings on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET and identical 5-minute windows. Their best trade? $10.1K PnL on a micro-market. Worst? -$200. The 10:1 buy-to-sell ratio confirms it: they're scalping in and out, riding tiny bid-ask spreads and order flow noise. This Polymarket whale hunts volatility compression, not information edges.
What separates this Polymarket trader from retail? Mechanical discipline and speed. No emotional chasing. They've executed 122 trades with near-perfect conversion—98% win rate is inhuman for any real prediction market. The micro-timeframe explains it: they're not predicting; they're collecting friction. 72 open positions means they're holding dozens of tiny hedges and scalp residuals. Diversified across 150 markets softens single-market blow-up risk. This is infrastructure edge, not edge.
But here's the real risk caveat: 2.5% ROI on $402.8K volume is thin. Sounds like their PnL evaporates the moment spreads widen or volumes dry up. High-frequency micro-market trading on Polymarket—a relatively thin prediction exchange—relies entirely on consistent liquidity and stable volatility. One drawdown event, one market-wide liquidity shock, and this wallet goes from 98% win rate to bleeding. They're also likely facing slippage and fee pressure that aren't factored into the profile. With 72 open positions, portfolio concentration risk is real.
Current play: holding 72 live positions across micro-volatility markets. Watch the daily trade velocity—if it drops below 50 trades/day, the model is broken. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
diversifiedRisk: medium