Loading wallet statistics...
weatherguru is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$4.1K PnL, $219.0K total volume, a 47.3% win rate, and activity across 1162 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as high and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
weatherguru (0xaff9c02cbf68cdd744609279e41122c8803b64ff) Polymarket trader runs 21.8 trades per day across 1,162 markets but sits at -$4,062 PnL on $219K volume — the textbook case of noise farming gone wrong.
Rank 2,673,175. Diversified trader, weather obsessed, high-risk grinder. The profile screams volume-over-edge: 762 total trades, 47% win rate, averaging $15 per trade. Portfolio hovers at $3,080 with 312 open positions bleeding slowly. This is what happens when you scale quantity without conviction.
The strategy is pure scatter: pick 1,162 different markets, scalp micro-edges on temperature predictions, weather events, niche outcomes nobody else is watching. Entry price averages $0.31 — retail territory, buying dips, swinging for small multiples. The math worked sometimes. Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27? paid $619 on a single swing. But then Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 26? clipped $62 loss immediately after. Ratio is 992 buys to exits. Position management is... loose.
The edge that doesn't exist: weatherguru thought diversification across niche weather markets meant signal. It's actually just diffusion. Polymarket wallet analytics show the real story — win rate holding 47%, which is barely above coin flip. High volume Polymarket traders usually need 55%+ win rates to survive. At 47%, fees and slippage eat you alive. ROI of -1.85% compounds daily across that trade-per-day velocity. This is attrition disguised as activity.
Risk level is maxed. 312 open positions means hedging against hedges against hedges. One bad batch of European temperature calls and half the portfolio evaporates. The best Polymarket whale traders know when to sit. weatherguru doesn't. Trades don't sleep, and neither does drawdown when your sample size is this scattered across low-liquidity niche markets.
Current state is slow bleed. Balance shows $3,080 left to work with. If the pace continues, six months of this grind liquidates the account. Not catastrophic yet, but the Polymarket leaderboard is unforgiving to attrition trades.
Check other top Polymarket traders on Predicts.guru — see who's actually profitable at scale versus who's just moving money between wallets hoping for noise to align.
diversifiedRisk: high