AB2
Loading wallet statistics…
AB2 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $29.5K PnL, $1.7M total volume, a 72.2% win rate, and activity across 1172 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Was scrolling Polymarket wallets for new alpha and stumbled on AB2 — deposited $867 and somehow pulled out $50k while keeping the machine running. This is a whale that started like a minnow.
AB2 ($0xafb8…bdc1), ranked #4860 by volume but top tier by efficiency. Trader type? Whale with a micro-deposit origin story. Top category? Weather markets — specifically single-day temperature events.
Strategy is brutally simple: extreme niche focus on weather binaries (above/below specific temps) with massive conviction sizing. AB2 doesn't swing at 1000 random markets — they fire 6.8 trades/day almost exclusively in one vertical, averaging $734 per trade. The edge hack? Treating weather data like a quant would — not guessing, but modeling microclimates against market implied probabilities.
Proof in the metrics: 72.2% win rate across 1,172 markets, $29.5K totalPnl on $1.7M volume. The best trade tells the story — AB2 hit a 117:1 ROI trade on Highest temperature in London on November 11? (2025-11-11) for $6,719 on one side, lost $561 on the flip side. Same event, opposite direction — classic arb. Buy/sell ratio of 4.8x means they lean heavily long.
The real edge separating AB2 from 99% of degens isn't some dark secret — it's discipline. Low risk level. Max single loss of $561 on 1,298 trades. No degenerate YOLOing. They farm noise when others chase hype. This is math over gut, executed with almost mechanical consistency — a bot or script likely running the show.
Now: 4 open positions, all weather binaries. Portfolio sits at $148 after pulling $50k out. The realism? That 5,684% ROI on deposits looks like free money — until you check the win rate and realize most gamblers don't survive the drawdown between those wins. AB2 does because they never overstay.
Track this wallet's next moves on Predicts.guru's Polymarket wallet checker — or dig into other top Polymarket traders to see who else is running the same quiet-alpha playbook.
whaleRisk: low