0xaf3c92e8468782BF3461faF8352BD6612316dDd0-1776304850840
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0xaf3c92e8468782BF3461faF8352BD6612316dDd0-1776304850840 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1.7K PnL, $191.6K total volume, a 24.1% win rate, and activity across 1961 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that opens 183 weather markets, deposits tiny, and somehow keeps losses to single digits per bet — meet the most mechanically disciplined degen you'll never hear about.
IDENTITY: 0xaf3c92e8468782bf3461faf8352bd6612316ddd0 Polymarket trader. Rank #2,662,357 by volume, but that's misleading — this is a conservative niche sniper. Top category: weather. Specifically, Tokyo/Manila temperature markets. Bio empty. Wallet full of data.
STRATEGY: High volume, low conviction per bet. They place 18 trades per day, average entry price of $0.78, average size $15. Buy-to-sell ratio 8.5x — meaning they're mostly buying. They're not swinging for homers; they're collecting small edges on daytime temperature spreads. Think of it as a script that farms noise on low-liquidity weather markets, pouncing on mispriced highs and lows before the bots correct.
PROOF: They've traded 953 unique markets, closed 52, with a 24.1% win rate. Total volume $191.6K, total PnL -$1.7K. Their best trade was on Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 31?: $1.7K loss. Their worst trade? Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 31?: lost $33. Max single win is $31.80. Max single loss is $33. That's not a trader — that's a sniping algorithm that caps risk at exactly one bad McDonald's order.
EDGE: What separates this 0xaf3c92e8468782bf3461faf8352bd6612316ddd0 Polymarket trader from 99% of degens? Discipline disguised as dumb luck. No drama. No token speculation. No "I'm a crypto native" bio. Just 183 trades, average $15 per bet, 18 per day — pure data execution over gut feeling. They don't chase narratives. They chase temperature degrees. That's the edge.
NOW: Currently sitting on 235 open positions, portfolio value $3,338. They've been fading big directional swings, buying into tight spreads. Looks like free money until you try to exit a Manila forecast at 2 AM. This wallet screams "I am a bot, and I don't care about your feelings." Not everyone survives the drawdown, but this one seems engineered to ignore it.
Wanna know how real the edge is? Use Predicts.guru to check Polymarket wallet analytics on this wallet — or just watch the Tokyo temperature markets fill up faster than you can say "arbitrage."
diversifiedRisk: low