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hgmr2 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $5.5K PnL, $490.1K total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 4933 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that made $5,526 in Polymarket PnL on tiny $0.50–$22 trades, with a 100% win rate across 256 closed positions — and it’s not a whale, it’s a weather bot.
hgmr2 Polymarket trader is a low-risk crypto bot ranked #20,219, running over 283 trades per day on climate micro-markets. This is not a human making gut calls — it’s pure math pounding tiny edges in temperature prediction markets.
Strategy: Holds 204 open positions simultaneously, with an average trade size of just $10.18 and an average entry price of $0.81. The core edge hack? Arbitraging weather forecast updates faster than the market reprices. The bot sees a new NOAA or AccuWeather update, immediately buys or sells the relevant "Will the high in City X be Y°F on Date Z?" contract before humans notice.
Proof: 100% Polymarket win rate on 256 closed trades. The best single trade returned $22.38 on Chicago temperature data from May 21. Zero losing trades closed. The bot shows a buy-sell ratio of 2500:0 — literally never sells into a loss, just holds til expiry or closes at profit. Total volume of $490K across 4,933 markets traded.
Edge: Discipline that no human can match. No FOMO, no tilt, no "this feels different." The bot only enters when the implied probability diverges from the latest forecast by a calculable margin. Retail chases headlines — hgmr2 farms noise with hard data.
Now: Holding 204 open positions — basically a weather derivatives portfolio covering global cities. Realism caveat: this strategy only works as long as Polymarket’s climate markets have slow price discovery. Not every trader survives the day the weather model gets it catastrophically wrong — but so far, this bot hasn’t seen one.
Track hgmr2's next weather moves — check Polymarket wallet checker at Predicts.guru to see what temperatures this bot is betting on next.
crypto botRisk: low