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Trader Overview
sirmisterk (0xa6b8d99acfa5ddf3939baa889a8e0cdef8a44bdf) is a Polymarket trader running what looks like a high-frequency bot hitting 163 trades per day across 1,473 markets, turning a microscopic $724 PnL on $345k volume into a masterclass in grinding noise — except the math doesn't hold when you actually look.
The bot spreads thin. 550 total trades, 60% win rate, but here's where it breaks: 500 open positions against only 50 closed means sirmisterk is bagholding hard, letting losing bets sit while the portfolio sits at $62.74 USDC available. This is the signature move of a bot that works until it doesn't — tiny entries at $0.19 average, 0.7 cent per trade, which sounds like arbitrage until your exit liquidity vanishes on Polymarket prediction markets.
The edge here is pure volume farming. sirmisterk hunts micro-inefficiencies across prediction markets where most retail never look — niche geopolitical, crypto micro-cap conditions, obscure sports lines. Best single win was $36.87 on Will US or Israel strike Iran first?, worst drawdown hit -$6.93 on Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 28?. The bot's 0.022 buy-sell ratio screams passive collecting, barely selling, pure accumulation. No discretion, zero market timing — just automation picking pennies off the Polymarket leaderboard.
Risk is brutal here. 0.21% ROI on $345k volume is efficiency, but the 500 open positions create hidden tail risk. One market catalyst — a forced resolution, liquidity drought, exchange delisting — and those penny bets evaporate simultaneously. The Polymarket whale crowd would call this a slow bleed disguised as a bot edge. sirmisterk trades high-risk prediction markets with the discipline of a script, not the flexibility of a human who can panic exit.
Current state: trapped in perpetual small-scale grinding. The bot's still running 163 trades daily, but with only $62.74 cash left and half a thousand zombie positions, this looks less like alpha and more like a warning. How the fuck is a bot that profitable still running on fumes? Probably because it never stops — can't afford to.
crypto botRisk: low