0xa6214292fba769fc1c0a11c3191cefe197bf6e29
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0xa6214292fba769fc1c0a11c3191cefe197bf6e29 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$319 PnL, $173.0K total volume, a 43.8% win rate, and activity across 1095 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
0xa6214292fba769fc1c0a11c3191cefe197bf6e29 Polymarket trader just hit $327K on a single esports bet while sitting at -$319 total PnL — the most unhinged volume-to-return ratio on the leaderboard.
Meet the specialist: rank 2.4M, diversified trader type, but functionally a noise farmer. 1,310 trades across 1,095 different markets in what looks like pure quantity over quality. Win rate sits at 43.75% — basically coinflip territory. Portfolio value $23.3K despite negative lifetime PnL. This wallet bought into everything.
Here's the edge hack: they're not playing edge, they're playing scale. Buy-sell ratio of 4.4x means they're accumulating 4 times more than they're closing — a classic sign of someone who opens positions then ghosts them or holds bags. Average entry at 0.929, average trade size $3.66. The math says: spray and pray across 1,095 markets, let 56% of bets die, hope the survivors print. On Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha they nailed $327 — counterbalanced immediately by -$1,058 Iran invasion bet that ate the entire year's work.
The proof is in the contradiction: 1,181 open positions stacked against only 129 closed. This wallet doesn't exit. It accumulates. Portfolio bloat + low win rate = death by a thousand micro-losses. The biggest single loss dwarfs the biggest win in expected value terms — one bad geopolitical call nuked 321 smaller wins. Low risk designation is generous; this is actually chaos risk dressed as diversification.
What separates them from 99% degens? Nothing good. This isn't mastery, it's volume chasing at scale with zero conviction. They're the Polymarket whale that loses money while trading every single day. The $23.3K portfolio value suggests they're still betting because they've already sunk $342K to get here — the classic sunk cost trap. Low discipline, high activity, negative expected value per trade.
Current status: still holding 1,181 open bets, bleeding slowly. The portfolio hasn't collapsed yet because small position size ($3.66 average) softens the blow. But opening more markets than closing them is the definition of unstable capital allocation. Not everyone survives the drawdown when you're running this many simultaneous long-term bets.
Track this wallet's markets and PnL decay on Predicts.guru — it's a live study in why diversified doesn't mean defensible.
diversifiedRisk: low