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0xranjan is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$844 PnL, $307.7K total volume, a 38.0% win rate, and activity across 98 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xranjan’s Polymarket wallet looks like 88 different ways to lose money slowly.
Meet 0xranjan — a diversified retail trader ranked #2,573,511, quietly racking up 90 trades across 88 markets with a 36.8% win rate and a -$718 total PnL. That’s -4.3% ROI on $4,545 in deposits. Not a whale, not a bot — just a guy grinding edge in the long tail of prediction markets. His best single win? $230 on an Elon Musk tweet count market — but his worst single loss was -$287 on an Avatar box office bet. The math says he’s down, but the story is in the survival.
His “edge hack” is simple: he plays small, average trade size $21, average entry near 66 cents, and closes 76 of 90 trades. He’s not chasing volatility — he’s fishing for mispriced shoulders on niche event contracts. 1.1 trades per day, low risk label, 14 positions still open. That’s a grind, not a gambit.
But here’s the cold reality: a 36.8% win rate with a -4.3% ROI means he bleeds slowly on most bets and occasionally gets paid. His best trade came on a Musk tweet count — a classic noise category where retail overpays for narratives. His worst was on a movie opening weekend, a category where insider leaks destroy retail. The edge? Discipline and size control, not alpha. He’s never getting rich, but he’s also not blowing up.
Currently, 14 open positions across 88 markets he’s touched — meaning he’s still fishing. The realism check: -4.3% ROI on $4.5K deposited isn’t a strategy, it’s a slowly leaking bathtub. But he has withdrawn $4,133, so he’s taking chips off the table. That’s more than most degens do.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to check real-time updates — or check the leaderboard for traders who actually make money on Polymarket.
diversifiedRisk: low