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raoirliu is a Polymarket wallet profile with $1.7K PnL, $162.0K total volume, a 62.5% win rate, and activity across 6000 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xa5b17799332b276f748feca8649b6e23272cc6dc opened 6,000 markets with a $1,670 PnL that sounds boring until you check the buy-sell ratio. raoirliu Polymarket trader has a 500:1 buy-to-sell ratio, meaning this guy almost never sells — he just lets positions expire or prays.
Rank #53,110. Trader type: conservative. Top category: Bitcoin minute-by-minute binaries. 59 total trades, 62.5% win rate, 1.03% ROI. Total volume $161,982. Average trade size: $7.52. This is not a whale. This is a micro-trader running volume through Polymarket like a slot machine built for data nerds.
Strategy: trade only the 5-minute Bitcoin Up or Down windows. Entries at $0.64 average, tiny $7.52 stakes. The edge hack? He almost never sells — buys and holds to expiration. Saves the 2% spread that destroys retail swing traders. His best trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET for +$27.77. His worst: the 3:45AM window for -$33.07. One bad roll away from zero.
Edge: pure discipline around micro-timeframes. Most people chase 30% gains. raoirliu chases $7 wins 60% of the time. That buy-sell ratio tells you everything — he exits almost nothing. No panic, no FOMO, just mathematical repetition on a 5-minute loop. Not everyone survives the drawdown when one bad minute wipes 20 sessions of grinding.
Current: 9 open positions, portfolio value $27.23. He's live right now on Bitcoin micro-bets. Looks like free money until you try to scale this — slippage on larger sizes would break the model.
Check the wallet on Predicts.guru to see if he's still flipping 5-minute windows or if variance finally caught up.
conservativeRisk: medium