nobebot Polymarket Wallet
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nobebot is a Polymarket wallet profile with $33.7K PnL, $1.7M total volume, a 76.9% win rate, and activity across 8841 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
nobebot (Wallet Address 0xa3e0985f2d0b3209a52f171660287863690d095d) is a Polymarket trader running 183 trades per day across 8,841 different markets — the pure definition of noise farming at scale.
Started with $79K in total deposits, turned it into $33.6K PnL on paper, but here's where it gets weird: -88% ROI on deposits means this bot is basically treading water in a sea of micro-bets. nobebot sits at rank 3934 on the Polymarket leaderboard, crushing a 76.9% win rate across 550 total trades, yet the portfolio value sits at just $81 — a wallet that looks like it's hemorrhaging liquidity every single day.
The edge here is pure volume arbitrage. This isn't a human making conviction bets. This is a script spinning up 183 positions daily, hunting basis points in ultra-short windows. Best trade pulled $161 on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET; worst trade lost $267 on the exact same market minutes later. Same market, opposite sides, millisecond timing. That's not conviction — that's a scalp bot sniffing bid-ask spreads in prediction markets that most retail traders don't even know move that fast.
The real data bomb: $1.68M total volume on just $79K deposits. That's a 21x turnover ratio. Average entry price hovers at 0.57 (betting on slightly-better-than-coinflip odds), average trade size is $16. Open positions: 497. Closed positions: 53. The bot never holds — it's a churn machine. 2500 buy-sell ratio tells you execution speed matters more than direction here.
But the skepticism pill: -88% ROI on deposits after spinning nearly 1.7M in volume is a red flag that scales linearly. Even at 76% win rate, if you're losing money on capital efficiency, you're not actually ahead — you're just generating transaction fees for Polymarket. The portfolio value of $81 USDC remaining means this bot is running on fumes, surviving on the last crumbs of edge before slippage eats everything.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to watch how noise farming plays out when markets get thick, or check other Polymarket traders to see if bot-driven Polymarket PnL can actually survive past the first bear move.
crypto botRisk: medium