farthingmore
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farthingmore is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$4.7K PnL, $439.4K total volume, a 83.4% win rate, and activity across 196 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet with 83% wins, $68K in deposits, and still down nearly 90% — farthingmore’s Polymarket story is the brutal math of prediction markets.
This is farthingmore, rank #2,799,772 on Polymarket — a conservative trader who has placed 175 bets across 196 markets. The Polymarket wallet shows strong win rate of 83%, but -$4.7K sits at -$4,654.58. With $439.4K of $439,406.88 traded, the average bet size is just $389 — but the losses cut deep.
Strategy. farthingmore plays heavy favorites, entering at an average price of $0.94 — meaning they buy near-certain outcomes. This fuels the 83.4% win rate but crushes PnL when those "safe" positions fail. The worst trade was on Bitcoin above _ on June 4?, losing a single -$1,686.53 — more than six times the single best win of $252 on Spurs vs. Timberwolves (2026-05-10).
Edge. The discipline of playing high-probability bets is real — but this wallet shows the hidden risk: you can hit 8 of 10 bets and still bleed out if the 2 losers are 5x bigger than any winner. That 3.37-to-1 buy/sell ratio suggests a tendency to over-buy into consensus narratives.
Now. Farthingmore has 0 open positions and $0 balance — either sitting out or moved funds. The $68,464.72 total deposits vs. $8,376.60 in withdrawals tells a painful story of a trader who chased consistency and got caught by tail risk.
Use Predicts.guru to check Polymarket wallet analytics or track other top Polymarket traders on the leaderboard. Most 83% win rates hide this math — open the wallet before following any play.
conservativeRisk: low