0xA1598538A4E12F4C9724f03124B9d34D50E9Ba15-1773368242640
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0xA1598538A4E12F4C9724f03124B9d34D50E9Ba15-1773368242640 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $805 PnL, $10.0K total volume, a 96.6% win rate, and activity across 492 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xA1598538A4E12F4C9724f03124B9d34D50E9Ba15 Polymarket Trader Just Hit 96.6% Win Rate While Down 74.88% ROI — Here's Why The Math Doesn't Add Up.
Meet the prediction market's strangest paradox: a Polymarket whale sitting rank 97,235 with a win rate that'd make most degens weep, yet somehow underwater $631 on a $1,013 deposit. 0xA1598538A4E12F4C9724f03124B9d34D50E9Ba15 executed 229 trades across 227 different markets — averaging 73.8 trades per day — and won 223 of them. But that 97.58% Polymarket win rate? It's the price of playing penny stakes on micro-volatility noise.
The edge hack is brutally simple: scalp the shortest markets alive. This Polymarket trader crushed Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET for $258.68 in 5 minutes flat — the best trade by far. Average entry price sits at 0.5118, meaning they're hunting 50/50 binary flips on ultra-tight timeframes. The Polymarket wallet analytics tell the real story: 26.4x buy-to-sell ratio shows a trader who enters positions constantly but rarely exits with size. Most trades close with pennies profit. The math works until it doesn't.
Open positions: 105. Closed positions: 124. Total volume: $4,394. Portfolio value now: $254.49 USDC. This isn't scaling — it's margin death in slow motion. A Polymarket leaderboard rank this low with this much activity screams high-frequency noise collection, not alpha. The worst trade lost just $0.35, confirming they're betting chump change per scalp. When you're grinding 70+ trades daily on $13 average position size, even a 96.6% win rate gets buried by slippage and fees the second you try to move real capital.
Risk level: medium, but check the portfolio hemorrhage. The ROI stayed negative despite the insane win rate because Polymarket strategy here is pure volume play — quantity masking the quality problem. Not everyone survives the grind when drawdowns hit and you can't exit cleanly.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to watch how long the scalp playbook holds or breaks under market pressure.
diversifiedRisk: medium