anton534
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anton534 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $13.4K PnL, $794.3K total volume, a 90.3% win rate, and activity across 79 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
anton534 Polymarket trader just turned $117k in deposits into a $36k portfolio with a 90.3% win rate — and somehow still underwater on ROI. This is what happens when you're right constantly but sized wrong from the jump.
Anton sits at rank 7858 with $13.4k total PnL across 81 trades, averaging $2,082 per position. Conservative trader type, low risk designation. The math is brutal: 90.3% win rate should print money. Instead, negative 2.08% ROI on deposits tells you everything about entry discipline and position sizing. His best trade US x Venezuela military engagement by...? returned $4,013. His worst trade on What price will Ethereum hit in 2025? cost $1,563. Max single win to max single loss ratio sits at 2.57x — that's the real problem. Winners don't overlap losers enough.
The Polymarket strategy here is pure noise collection across 79 different markets. Anton trades 0.6 times daily, meaning this is deliberate, methodical work — not panic clicking. His buy-to-sell ratio of 3.04 shows he's accumulating positions way more than he exits, which in low-volatility prediction markets is a red flag. You're holding losers hoping they flip. Volume of $794k over 81 trades (average entry price 0.86) proves he's not chasing extremes — he's buying the middle and riding. That's the conservative trader's edge: no FOMO, no capitulation sells.
The Polymarket wallet analytics scream one thing: timing problem, not selection problem. Closed 81 positions with those wins, currently sitting on 18 open positions. If 90% of your closed trades win but your net PnL is barely positive, you're running a high-frequency micro-gain system that gets nuked by one or two sized-up bets. His portfolio value sits at $36k while he's pulled out $78k in withdrawals — he's been taking profits constantly, just not fast enough to outrun his initial over-sizing.
Right now this Polymarket trader is in drawdown recovery mode. With open positions still on the table and the math suggesting he's finally getting tighter on entry, the next 30 days matter. This is not a "whale" move — it's a prediction market grinder learning the hard way that accuracy without discipline is expensive tuition.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to see if he's finally cracking the sizing code or just treading water.
conservativeRisk: low