epend Polymarket Wallet
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epend is a Polymarket wallet profile with $2.0K PnL, $3.9M total volume, a 92.5% win rate, and activity across 192 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
epend (0x9eca63b0ed5f5cc2c81a177858aef570897c5a59) Polymarket trader just deployed $157K across 130 markets and somehow maintains a 94.9% win rate while sitting at -$51K PnL — the most brutal proof that accuracy ≠ edge in prediction markets.
epend trades like a machine. Fifteen trades per day across esports, UFC, and anything with liquidity. The profile screams specialist — 94.91% win rate is genuinely elite tier, not noise. But here's the thing: this Polymarket whale opened positions on 74 different markets simultaneously, which is either diversification theology or a sign something's deeply wrong with position sizing.
The math is punishing. Deposited $161,965, extracted $4,500, left with $80,568 portfolio value. ROI sits at -47.48% despite winning 94 out of 99 trades. This happens when you nail 99% of your predictions but size wrong on the ones that matter. The best single trade pulled $30,803 on Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, but the worst shredded -$9,183 on UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims). Skewed asymmetry.
What separates epend from the Polymarket leaderboard noise is raw prediction accuracy across obscure esports markets. A 94.9% win rate on 133 trades is statistically absurd — retail prediction market analytics would kill for that consistency. The edge looks clean: deep knowledge of esports rosters, team form, bracket dynamics. But prediction markets punish overconfidence in sizing. Entry price averaging 0.602 means epend bought into <60 cent positions regularly and still couldn't escape the math.
Current state: sitting on 74 open positions totaling $80K portfolio value with medium risk flagged. Not liquidated, not blown up, but underwater. The buy-to-sell ratio of 7.35x signals someone still adding to winners, which works until volatility shifts. Trades per day at 15.4 suggests this isn't passive — epend's grinding, chasing volume fills, staying engaged.
Check your wallet against epend's on Predicts.guru to see if specialist-grade prediction accuracy with broken position sizing mirrors your own leaks.
whaleRisk: medium