mump
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mump is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$3.4K PnL, $468.8K total volume, a 59.9% win rate, and activity across 563 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Bought $6.6K into Polymarket, made 510 trades, and somehow turned that into a -$3.4K hole while still having a 59.9% win rate — mump is the most confusing Polymarket trader you'll see today.
Who is mump? Ranked outside the top 2.7M, this diversified trader mostly sticks to sports and crypto prediction markets. Bio empty, wallet full of questions.
What they do: trades everything — 563 different markets at an average of just $33 per bet. The strategy is pure volume farming: 60 trades per day, buying at $0.67 average, selling slightly more than buying (1.49 buy/sell ratio). It's a grind game, scalping tiny edges at low risk.
Check the numbers: 59.9% win rate across 506 closed positions would look good, except the PnL is deeply red. The best trade ever? $666 on a White Sox vs. Nationals game. The worst? A $3.4K loss on a Solana 15-min prediction that went wrong. Max win barely beats max loss. That's the math problem.
The edge: discipline of a machine — low risk, high frequency, 60 trades daily, never chasing big swings. Most degens blow up chasing 10x; mump slowly bleeds $33 at a time. That's the brutal truth of prediction market analytics — a 59.9% win rate means nothing if your losers are 86% the size of your winners.
Current situation: 4 open positions, portfolio sitting at $584. Total deposits were $6.6K, withdrawals just $2.3K. Low risk rating doesn't save the -55% ROI on deposits. Looks sustainable until you do the math.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see how "disciplined losing" compares to actual top Polymarket traders who make money with their strategy.
diversifiedRisk: low