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Trader Overview
deadwhite (0x9d393a9bf88fe689ae616e6c04a36609e51cb8c6) Polymarket trader turned $2,339 into $12,682 in nine trades—a 470% ROI that screams either pure luck or something deeper, and the data suggests the latter.
Rank 9056. Nine total trades. Diversified across nine markets. Win rate sits at 57%, which feels pedestrian until you see the asymmetry: best single trade pulled $8,436, worst loss was only $46. That's the real edge. deadwhite Polymarket trader operates with ruthless position sizing discipline—average entry around $727 per trade, but when the signal fires, he sizes into conviction plays. Most Polymarket whales blow up on one fat bet going wrong. deadwhite's worst loss is basically noise.
Strategy is dead simple: noise collection with strict downside protection. The winning trade on Elon Musk # tweets February 13 - February 20, 2026? pulled $8.4K from what looks like low entry into crowd panic. Diversified across nine markets tells you he's not chasing one obsession—he's farming edges wherever liquidity misprices reality. Eight trades per day velocity means automation or obsessive monitoring, but still selective on which markets merit capital.
What separates deadwhite from 99% of Polymarket degenerates: loss discipline. A 57% win rate is fine. Capping your worst loss at $46 while capturing $8K+ on winners is the math that compounds. Most traders flip it backwards—huge losses, tiny wins, and wonder why they're broke. His buy-sell ratio of 0.76 suggests he's patient on entries, more willing to take profits than chase. That's uncommon in prediction markets where FOMO kills accounts.
Current state: two open positions, seven closed, sitting on $10.3K portfolio value with $0 USDC balance. He's fully deployed. Risk is technically "low" by the system, but holding conviction through drawdowns when you've turned $2.3K into five-figures is the real test—not everyone survives that psychological pressure. The net negative transfers ($670 out) suggest he's withdrawn profits, which is the move, though timing the exit ladder matters.
The caveat: nine trades isn't a sample size. One bad bet at scale could evaporate half this gain. But the asymmetric risk management and niche diversification across uncorrelated markets? That's not dumb luck.
diversifiedRisk: low