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bearbear222 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$71 PnL, $6.3K total volume, a 46.8% win rate, and activity across 562 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
bearbear222 (Wallet Address: 0x9ac3e5ddc1e80a4da3ca852634e519b2747bc2b6) Polymarket trader burned through $230 in deposits to hit -69.96% ROI in pure chaos mode — but somehow posts a 66.67% win rate while bleeding money, the ultimate "how is this mathematically possible" case study.
Meet bearbear222, Polymarket trader rank 268156, diversified degen who treats prediction markets like a sports betting arcade. 27 total trades across 27 markets in the span of days. Win rate 66.67% yet down $190 net. Portfolio sits at $68 after liquidating almost everything. The contradiction? One word: position sizing. Trading 9.1 times per day on $5 average bet, bearbear222 nailed 18 closed trades but let losers run like a panic hedger, not a professional.
The edge hack here is nonexistent, which is why this profile exists. Bearbear222 hunts noise in sports betting prediction markets — Warriors vs Mavericks, Raptors vs Jazz, all March 2026 futures. Best single trade pulled $10.13. Worst single trade cost $10.30. Dead even on max win/loss but the math doesn't hold because smaller position sizes on the winners and larger on the losers is death in prediction markets. Total volume $305, so this isn't a whale. This is a retail player who got lucky on 66% of bets but picked the wrong sizes on the other 33%.
What separates bearbear222 from smarter degenerates: absolutely nothing yet. Nine open positions right now, which means the bleeding might continue. The wallet shows pure buy-side bias (28 buy to sell ratio) — this trader isn't hedging, just accumulating losers and hoping reversals. Risk level medium but that's generous; behavior screams high-volatility retail chasing spreads.
Current state: down nearly $190 on $230 deployed, still holding nine live markets. Not everyone survives the drawdown, and bearbear222 is one trade away from exiting or grinding back. The real tell is the total deposits number — $230 is a test run, not conviction capital.
Track bearbear222 and other Polymarket whale wallets on Predicts.guru to see if this trader adds size or admits defeat next.
diversifiedRisk: medium