cicade
Loading wallet statistics...
cicade is a Polymarket wallet profile with $123.5K PnL, $732.3K total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 7 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
cicade (wallet 0x992a5c9c5a0c8f83750b5a18795f2338d9b25e34) Polymarket trader just ran a perfect 7-for-7 from a $732.3K volume stack in weeks, turning $123.5K PnL on a 16.86% ROI with zero losses — pure sniper execution in sports spreads that most Polymarket whale hunters miss entirely.
Rank 1014 on the leaderboards, but the stats flip the script: 100% win rate across 7 closed trades, 14.6 trades per day, medium risk profile. This is not a volume chaser. This is a precision instrument. cicade operates in a niche — NBA spreads, single-category focus — where noise dies and edge lives. The Polymarket wallet analytics tell the story: 4 open positions right now, one closed winner, and a buy-sell ratio of 16:1 that screams conviction. Not hedging. Not dabbling. Stacking.
The edge hack is dead simple: cicade snipes Spread: Nuggets (-16.5), their best trade, for a $26k single win. Same market was worst trade — because it IS the only closed position. That's not a red flag; that's focus. Average entry price sits at 0.49 cents, average trade size $19.5k, category: spreads. The Polymarket leaderboard doesn't rank them top 500, but the PnL per trade ($17.6k average) per day (14.6 executions) suggests this trader knows something about mispricings in sports prediction markets that the crowd doesn't. One market, locked conviction, perfect execution.
Risk level: medium. That should surprise you. Portfolio value $414k, zero major losses on the record, but 6 open bets sitting live means drawdown risk is real — prediction market analytics show spreads can snap fast when public awareness shifts. Not everyone survives the exit when liquidity dries.
cicade's current play: six open positions across NBA spreads, likely farming mispricing before the market corrects. It's a bet that spreads stay soft longer than most expect. The sniper style — ultra-high trade frequency, single-market mastery, tiny position discipline — suggests either a sharp sports analytics model or the rarest thing on Polymarket: discipline that survived the grind.
Track this wallet's moves on Predicts.guru to see how conviction plays unfold in real time across top Polymarket traders.
sniperRisk: medium