Bond-0077
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Bond-0077 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$0 PnL, $54 total volume, a 83.3% win rate, and activity across 6 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Bond-0077 Polymarket trader dumped $10.37K into short Bitcoin windows and somehow hit 83.3% win rate while losing 78% of total deposits — the contrarian's guide to how timing beats capital every single time.
Bond-0077 sits at rank 851,571 on Polymarket leaderboards. Wallet: 0x95ab3f4a4dc135caf408a1115c36f62794d42e77. Eight total trades across six markets, $54 volume, sniper archetype. Low risk appetite but the math reads like a cautionary tale wrapped in survivor bias. Started with $10.37K, ended with $2.24K. Current portfolio value $2.24K, two open positions still breathing. Win rate looks clean on paper — then you see the PnL column: minus $0.023, minus 78.4%.
Here's the edge that actually works: Bond-0077 targets ultra-short Bitcoin directional windows, 5-minute expiries on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET (2026-05-13). That sniper approach meant average entry at 0.958 odds — betting near coin-flip territory but with conviction. Best trade hit 0.313 in seconds. Worst trade bled 0.222. The ratio: 1.83 buy-to-sell, meaning more entries than exits, which tracks with someone scaling in and hoping volatility swings back.
The contrarian lesson Bond-0077 teaches is ruthless: 83.3% win rate on Polymarket means nothing if your average winning trade ($0.039 per bet) gets crushed by one bad cycle. This is why retail Polymarket traders see high win rates then check their balance and see red. Bond-0077 averaged $2.68 per trade — small enough to absorb losses, large enough that three bad picks torpedo the whole thesis. Low risk designation is correct, but low risk doesn't mean low volatility in a $10K account making micro-bets.
Current holdings show two open positions still live. Portfolio's at $2.24K. Real talk: this wallet probably stops trading soon or goes full rebuild mode. The Polymarket wallet analytics here reveal what 99% degens miss — win rate is a vanity metric. Drawdown tolerance and position sizing are the actual game. Bond-0077 had the discipline to not blow it to zero but not the math to actually compound.
Track Bond-0077 or compare similar sniper-type traders on Predicts.guru to see how the Polymarket whale leaderboard disguises these brutal ROI breakdowns.
sniperRisk: low