0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
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0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$55.8K PnL, $8.0M total volume, a 70.9% win rate, and activity across 284 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
WHALE THAT LOST $55K ON POLYMARKET — BUT NAILED 70.9% WIN RATE
70.9%x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f is a Polymarket trader who somehow maintains a 70.9% win rate across 340 trades while sitting down $55,802 total PnL. This is the most confusing edge case in prediction markets — statistical proof you can pick winners and still bleed capital.
The setup is stark. Deposited $160,640 into this Polymarket wallet, ran 340 trades across 284 different markets at 2.5 bets per day, and finished with a portfolio worth $9,235. ROI: -94.25%. But here's the knife: 71% of individual trades closed green. The best single win hit $128,484 (on Avatar: Fire and Ash Opening Weekend Box Office) while the worst trade torched $114,793 (US government shutdown Saturday?). That's a 2.4x loss-to-win ratio on extremes. The strategy works, the risk management doesn't.
Average trade size sits at $2,672 with a buy-sell ratio of 12.36, meaning this wallet is massively biased toward going long — holding positions rather than actively shorting noise. Entry price averages 0.86 on the probability scale, so they're consistently buying dip markets expecting reversals. That's contrarian positioning. The math checks out 71% of the time. The sizing doesn't.
This is textbook Polymarket whale behavior: solid prediction chops, catastrophic position sizing. Win rate alone doesn't survive when your biggest loss is nearly equivalent to your biggest win. Four open positions remain active, suggesting they haven't walked away. Total volume moved $8M+ across this wallet, confirming serious capital flow even if net returns are toxic. It's not a Polymarket wallet checker red flag for skill — it's a case study in why you need stop losses more than you need edge.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the hemorrhaging stops or if high win rate finally meets proper risk discipline.
whaleRisk: low