beancounters
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beancounters is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$3.2K PnL, $359.7K total volume, a 86.4% win rate, and activity across 2086 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Open one wallet, expect a degen whale—find a bot running 289 trades per day with an 86.4% win rate and still down $3,182. That's beancounters Polymarket trader—a data-munching machine grinding 1,502 weather and event micro-bets from a starting roll that was never huge, on a quest to outrun Polymarket's spread.
The identity: beancounters, ranked somewhere south of the big names, but this Polymarket trader isn't hunting glory—they're hunting noise. Trader type: crypto_bot. Strategy dead simple: spam high-probability "yes" on weather events like "Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?" and "Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 10?" using buy/sell tools and scalping 8.65 buys for every sell. The edge? Pure probability arbitrage—reading model forecasts faster than retail arrives.
Proof in the numbers: 86.4% win rate over 1,502 total trades across 2,086 markets. That max single win of $474.91 on London temperatures looks clean—until you see the max single loss of $34 on Jakarta shows this isn't magic. Average trade size is $3.65, average entry price $0.578, meaning they are farming tiny edges thousands of times. total volume: $359,697. But PnL: -$3,182. ROI: -0.88%. Portfolio value: $1,745. The bot prints wins, but the spreads and slippage slowly bleed it.
Edge: discipline and scale over gut. While retail chases headlines on Polymarket, beancounters lets a script run thousands of trades a day, never deviating from the math. Their 0.01 trade size means they survive variance—but they also cap upside.
Now: 1,052 open positions still live—this bot hasn't stopped. Realism check: this is a grinding path to zero unless the model improves. Not everyone survives the drawdown, especially when your profit factor depends on a spread thinner than a hair.
Want to track if this weather-farming bot eventually turns green? Use a Polymarket wallet checker like Predicts.guru to check Polymarket wallet performance and compare it to other top Polymarket traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.
crypto botRisk: medium