Loading wallet statistics...
Trader Overview
LlamaLoco0000 Polymarket trader burned through $417k in losses while maintaining a 31% win rate — the math alone explains why this whale keeps bleeding capital despite nailing 1 in 3 bets.
LlamaLoco0000 is a mid-rank Polymarket whale (rank 2169240) with 177 total trades across 177 different markets over roughly 220 days. The raw stats read like a cautionary tale: negative $417,366 PnL on $710k net deposits, -38.74% ROI, 31.5% win rate, $14M total volume moved. This is not a stealth alpha hunter. This is a retail-sized account burning money at scale.
The strategy, if you can call it that, is spray and pray with conviction on the downside. Buy-sell ratio of 8.2x tells the full story — LlamaLoco0000 is betting against outcomes far more than betting for them. One trade per category, zero specialization, zero pattern recognition. The account treats Polymarket like a bookmaker: place 177 independent bets, expect maybe 31% to land, hope the wins cover the losses. Spoiler: they don't. Best single trade hit $51k profit on a Bitcoin sub-$100k 2026 call. Worst trade? Negative $99k on a Hyperliquid price prediction. That's a 2:1 loss-to-win ratio on extremes.
The edge here is... there isn't one. A 31% win rate on Polymarket needs a 3:1 average win-to-loss ratio just to break even. LlamaLoco0000 operates at 1.94:1 — mathematically doomed from entry. Average entry price of $3.07 (way too high for most outcomes) combined with low discipline means overpaying for noise. Trades per day sits at 0.8, so this isn't high-frequency panic arbitrage — it's slow, considered, wrong bets made methodically.
Open positions total 31 across a $287k remaining portfolio. With $380k withdrawn and bleeding ongoing, the account is in slow-motion liquidation mode. Not everyone survives extended drawdowns, and LlamaLoco0000 is proof. Low risk rating on the profile is generous — this is medium-to-high conviction betting with zero edge, which is the highest risk category in prediction markets. Watch the wallet, but not to copy.
whaleRisk: low