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wanlishou is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$16.1K PnL, $4.0M total volume, a 84.8% win rate, and activity across 449 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
wanlishou (0x92d8939d2f2503fb196ce25a6f3a9167f17c0924) is a Polymarket trader who crushed 84.75% win rate across 488 trades but somehow sits down 16K USD on a $339K deposit — the paradox that breaks every retail myth about prediction markets.
This is the Polymarket whale that kills every conventional wisdom. High win rate Polymarket trader with medium risk level, 9.4 trades daily, nearly $4M total volume across 449 different markets. Bio empty. Wallet screams activity. Rank 2,430,584 on the leaderboard — not famous, not tracked, just grinding. The edge hack: he treats prediction markets like esports betting, heavy concentration in LoL, which explains the 84.75% win rate Polymarket stat. Niche mastery, not general market noise.
Here's what kills: opened with $339K total deposits, withdrew $299K, left $39K net in the system. Executed 488 trades on a Polymarket wallet checker showing a median entry price of 0.56 — he's buying dips, not chasing momentum. Best trade: LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs crushed for $18.5K. Worst trade: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals ripped $16.4K loss. Buy-to-sell ratio of 2.86 — he's holding winners, selling losers fast. Still down 11.56% ROI. That's the trap: high win rate doesn't equal positive Polymarket PnL when average wins are small and blowups are massive.
The real edge separating this top Polymarket traders profile from 99% degens: esports conviction + mechanical discipline. 219 open positions means portfolio spread, not concentrated hero trades. But the brutal math: you can be right 84.75% of the time and still lose money if position sizing is wrong. This Polymarket whale wins consistently but risk-manages like a retail degen — takes L's that erase 5-10 small W's instantly.
Current state is live with 219 open bets active, trading 9.4 times daily. Not everyone survives this drawdown. The paradox is real: prediction market analytics show he has the edge, but Polymarket wallet analytics show his edge got eaten by drawdowns. Check the wallet on Predicts.guru — this is what disciplined niche mastery meets brutal market reality looks like.
whaleRisk: medium