Frightened
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Frightened is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$9 PnL, $210 total volume, a 50.0% win rate, and activity across 9 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Frightened (0x92b33b53989f4ba17eef40876ece5002549e36c1) is a Polymarket trader who turned a $63 deposit into -$9.15 in under 20 days — a cautionary tale wrapped in 50% win rate and perfect chaos.
This is what happens when prediction market newcomers meet real skin in the game. Frightened opened with medium risk tolerance, eight total trades across nine markets, averaging $10.93 per position. The wallet looks like someone who read "make money on Polymarket" once, deposited rent money, then lived through the jaw-dropping swing from +$21.78 on Lakers vs. Suns to -$15.15 on Pacers vs. Wizards. Dead even win rate but the losses hurt worse. That's not edge — that's luck running dry.
The edge hack? There isn't one yet. This Polymarket trader posts a textbook newcomer profile: buy heavy (9-to-1 buy-sell ratio), chase volatile sports betting markets, zero discipline between entries. Average entry price sits at 0.46, meaning Frightened bought most positions near the middle of the range and watched half of them crater. Four closed positions net positive, four net negative. The portfolio value is gone. Total deposits were $62.98, total withdrawals only $53.83 — that $9.2 loss compounds because every dollar that stays locked in Polymarket is a dollar that can't be risked elsewhere.
What separates Frightened from every other degenerate chasing Polymarket leaderboards? Absolutely nothing yet. No niche mastery, no infra edge, no math-first discipline. This is raw prediction market exposure with retail timing: buy before the headline breaks, panic-sell after the move. Risk level stays medium only because position sizes stayed small enough to survive the first drawdown. Most newcomers blow the entire stack in week one.
Currently sitting flat with zero open positions — all eight trades closed. The balance shows transferred out $9.15 net, which means Frightened likely realized some losses and pulled what remained. Not everyone survives the drawdown. Most Polymarket wallets this new either find their edge within 30 days or disappear entirely.
Check Frightened's moves and other prediction market analytics on Predicts.guru to see how newcomer Polymarket traders are actually performing on-chain.
newcomerRisk: medium