Tempesto
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Tempesto is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$508 PnL, $27.3K total volume, a 100.0% win rate, and activity across 804 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet. 804 markets touched, 12 trades closed, 100% win rate — and still down 92% on deposits. That’s the Tempesto paradox, and it’s exactly why this Polymarket whale profile breaks every metric you think matters.
Tempesto (0x8d61532d4035c4277931c7ad403e777b254d3113) is a sniper-type trader ranked #2,822,433. He calls himself a sniper, but the on-chain story is more chaotic. A $3,923 total deposit, a $220 withdrawal, and a current portfolio of $76. The math is brutal: {roiOnDeposits}% ROI. But here’s the twist — every single closed trade shows a profit. 100%% win rate with a best single win of $85.90 on Fulham vs. Man City. So where did the money go?
The edge hack? He’s not trading outcomes. He’s trading noise. 804 markets traded, 804 clicks, but only 12 settlements. He buys low, sells high on panic spreads, never waits for resolution. His buy-sell ratio is 8.4:1 — that’s a collector of cheap YES shares, not a holder. Average entry price {avgEntryPrice} — he’s grabbing everything under 60 cents and flipping it. In theory, that’s the perfect Polymarket strategy. In practice, the drawdown ate him.
The killer trade: Fulham vs. Manchester City, +$85.91. The worst trade: Wrexham vs. Stoke — and here’s the punchline — it was also a profit of +$46.87. His worst closed trade was green. That’s how you know this is a liquidity game, not a prediction game. He’s farming spreads, not forecasting football.
What separates Tempesto from 99% of degens? Discipline on size. Average trade size {avgTradeSize}. He never goes big. That’s why he’s survived 804 markets without a single knockout loss. But it’s also why he’s bleeding — -$508.1 net PnL on $27.3K volume. He’s paying fees and spread on noise, and the tiny wins can’t cover the cumulative drag.
Right now he’s got 2 open positions and a -$508.1 hole. The 100% win rate is real but misleading — it’s a closed-trade illusion. The open book is underwater. Not everyone survives the drawdown, and Tempesto is the perfect cautionary tale: perfect execution, terrible timing.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the sniper finally times the exit — or check out other top Polymarket traders who actually hold their winners.
sniperRisk: medium