rgaeur
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rgaeur is a Polymarket wallet profile with $7.1K PnL, $111.5K total volume, a 70.9% win rate, and activity across 223 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet turned a sub-$2,000 stack into over $7,000 in pure realized profit — and then withdrew nearly 4x that amount.
This is rgaeur, a low-risk "conservative" Polymarket trader currently ranked #16,758 with a ridiculously clean 70.9% win rate across 224 trades. On paper, the $7.1K of $7,104 looks good. On a deposit base of just $1,917 — that's a 348% ROI. For perspective: the average degen on Polymarket gets wiped before they hit 20 trades.
Strategy is brutally simple: small-margin, high-probability event bets. rgaeur's logic seems to be "narrow spreads, binary outcomes, no stomach for panic exits." Average trade size? A mere $71.98. Average entry price? $0.68 — so they're never buying rumors at $0.02 or chasing $0.98 certitudes. They hunt the $0.65–$0.85 zone where edge is real but crowd noise is thickest.
Proof is in the extremes: best single trade was +$1,155 on AZ vs. NAC Breda (2026-05-17). Worst loss was only -$161 on a Trail Blazers vs. Spurs (2026-04-28) miss. Notice the ratio — max win is 7x max loss. That's not luck; that's position sizing discipline. Win rate north of 70% with a buy-to-sell ratio of just 0.33 suggests they're scalping yes shares more than flipping nos.
The real edge? Cold math over gut. This is not a news trader. This is someone who looks at prediction market analytics like a poker hand — fold weak edges, double down on the 15% mispricings. And they clearly account for the probability decay. Their withdrawals ($8,595) are 4.5x their deposits ($1,917). That means they're actually cashing out winners, not letting them evaporate in open positions.
Current snapshot: zero open positions, all 224 trades closed. Looks like rgaeur might be sitting out or rotating capital. But don't mistake quiet for exit — this is the kind of whale who reappears when markets misprice the noise again. Not everyone survives the drawdown that comes with 3.2 trades/day, but this one did.
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conservativeRisk: low