QN4
Loading wallet statistics...
QN4 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $6.5K PnL, $76.7K total volume, a 57.4% win rate, and activity across 563 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
QN4 Polymarket trader runs 110 trades per day on a $27K deposit, sits at -99.5% ROI with $6.5K PnL, and proves that raw volume alone doesn't equal edge — just expensive tuition.
QN4 is a crypto bot (0x88102cb97ffb5441516d8bf2675d782a85a69ab4) ranked #15892 on Polymarket leaderboards. 537 total trades across 533 different markets over weeks of grinding. 57.4% win rate sounds clean until you do the math: -99.5% ROI on $27K initial deposit means $134 left in the wallet. This is what max frequency looks like without signal.
The strategy is simple: spray-and-pray high-frequency bets on volatile intraday Bitcoin outcomes. Hit 110 trades daily, catch micro-reversals, scalp noise. Best single trade pulled $843.54 (Bitcoin Up or Down April 13), worst torched -$917.77 the day before (same market, different timing). Buy-sell ratio of 1555 tells you this bot is aggressively chasing fills, entering shallow, hoping to exit on micro-bounces. Zero withdrawals since launch—all capital still locked in the grind or lost.
Here's the gap: 57.4% win rate on Polymarket prediction markets is genuinely above coin-flip, which means the bot has some edge. But look closer. Average entry price 0.512 (mid-probability territory), average trade size $23.27, and the bot had to deposit $27K to net $6.5K PnL. That's not edge, that's friction eating signal alive. Commission + slippage + speed penalties on an already-thin market = slow bleed. The bot won 57.6% but lost 99.5% of initial capital because it was fighting the house margin cost on 537 micro-trades.
This is the crypto bot reality nobody talks about: execution matters more than accuracy at scale. QN4 proved you can predict Bitcoin's 4-hour direction better than random, but the prediction market infrastructure (spreads, liquidity, settlement lag) penalizes the high-frequency approach. Looks like free money until you try to exit with size or pay realized losses.
Current position: 4 open trades, $134 portfolio value. Likely still running the same 110-per-day script, hoping to claw back. Draw-down this deep usually ends two ways — bot gets shut down or trader pivots to lower frequency.
Track QN4's live moves and compare daily PnL trends on Predicts.guru or check other Polymarket whale wallets to see if this volume-over-edge pattern repeats.
crypto botRisk: medium