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Walter-Weather is a Polymarket wallet profile with $9.6K PnL, $372.9K total volume, a 72.0% win rate, and activity across 1205 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
M0nteCarl0 turned $6,235 in deposits into $3,935 Polymarket PnL — a 2.74% ROI that reads quiet until you realize this 480-trade diversified Polymarket trader is grinding 4.2 trades daily across 402 markets with a 69.89% win rate that doesn't belong in the degen bucket.
Name's M0nteCarl0, rank 20464 on the Polymarket leaderboard, pure diversified play. Wallet 0x85c06787486a90e05ba1df96c034ef95c8cce01d. The type that doesn't chase headlines — trades weather predictions, niche temperature markets, micro-events nobody else is even looking at.
Edge is volume through discipline, not size through luck. Avg trade sits at $51.35 per position across 402 separate markets. That's not noise collection — that's systematic noise rejection. Buy-to-sell ratio of 2.81 tells you M0nteCarl0 commits to entries, holds thesis, doesn't panic flip. Win rate sits 69.89%, which on a Polymarket win rate leaderboard puts you in top-tier prediction market trader territory. Single best trade: $523 profit on a temperature market. Single worst: -$343. The ratio speaks — this isn't someone learning to trade; this is someone who learned.
What separates M0nteCarl0 from 99% prediction market degenerates: precision over ego. Weather, temperatures, micro-events — these markets have thin order books, zero hype, zero retail FOMO. They reward people who actually model them instead of people who chase sentiment. 191 open positions right now means portfolio is diversified across tiny thesis — expected value play, not conviction swing trading. Closed 289 positions already. That's iterative. That's evolutionary.
Reality check: $3,935 PnL on $6,235 deposits over however many months of 4.2 daily trades is solid but not explosive. Not everyone survives the drawdown when 191 positions rotate. Max single loss of -$343 suggests risk management exists but also that exposure to bad tail events is real. ROI of 2.74% doesn't scream alpha at scale — it screams consistency at micro-scale. Perfect setup for someone scaling to bigger ticket sizes if thesis holds.
Current portfolio value: $1,329.66. Net withdrawn $5,076 already — which means M0nteCarl0 is actually playing with house money at this point, letting winners run on the board. That's the edge nobody talks about: knowing when to stop adding capital and just let the system work.
diversifiedRisk: medium