craighoggart
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craighoggart is a Polymarket wallet profile with $1 PnL, $14.9K total volume, a 34.6% win rate, and activity across 39 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet with $383 in deposits, 26 trades, and a -2.23% ROI — meet the Polymarket trader that proves you don't need to be a whale to lose money slowly. craighoggart Polymarket trader sits at rank #652,013 with a PnL of just $0.93 after all fees and slippage, making him the perfect example of how "diversified" often means "spraying $196 bets on 39 markets and hoping one sticks."
Identity: "craighoggart" — rank 652k+, diversified trader in sports & events, 34.6% win rate.
Strategy: Low-stakes spray-and-pray on binary markets. Bets $196 average on everything from NBA games (Bulls vs. Warriors) to NHL matchups (Jets vs. Avalanche), buys far more than he sells (2.35:1 buy-to-sell ratio). Edge hack: none — he's retail gambling with a spreadsheet.
Proof: Total volume $14.9K sounds serious until you see the net PnL of $0.93 (yes, ninety-three cents) and -2.23% ROI on deposits. Best trade: $103.75 on Bulls vs. Warriors. Worst: -$124 on Jets vs. Avalanche. Max single win barely covers the max single loss. Trader averages 0.1 trades per day — meaning he's not even active enough to learn from mistakes.
Edge: There is no edge. This is the control group of your Polymarket wallet checker experiment — the baseline showing what happens when someone with no system, no discipline, and no niche knowledge throws cash at prediction markets. You want to use Polymarket wallet analytics? Look at his stats and do the opposite.
Now: Wallet is empty — $0 balance, no open positions, $374 withdrawn against $383 deposited. He's effectively flat after 26 trades. The realism caveat: this is the statistical reality for 99% of prediction market dabblers.
Want to see how the other 1% actually makes money? Use Predicts.guru to check Polymarket wallet of top Polymarket traders who aren't stuck at 34.6% win rate.
diversifiedRisk: medium